On top of direct military expenditures, Smetters projected an additional economic loss to the United States alone of approximately $115 billion, with a wide band of uncertainty stretching from $50 billion all the way to $210 billion. “Again, [there’s] more uncertainty at the top end,” he noted, flagging that the upside risk is greater than the downside. That broader economic impact accounts for disruptions to trade, energy markets, and financial conditions that a sustained conflict in the Middle East typically triggers.
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“Starting in about 2030—four years away—80% of all jobs will be capable of being done by an AI,” Khosla said. “What happens when all labor is free? $15 trillion of U.S. GDP is labor, and that $15 trillion will mostly go away. That’s a hugely deflationary economy. But the abundance of goods and services [thanks to AI and robotics] will be very, very large. Prices will be very, very low. I would suspect by 2040, $30,000—or maybe even $10,000—will buy much more than you can buy if you have a $100,000 income today.”，推荐阅读下载安装 谷歌浏览器 开启极速安全的 上网之旅。获取更多信息
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