“在伊朗看来，美国毫无谈判的信誉。短期内，美以谈判的窗口已被封死。”上海国际问题研究院中东研究中心主任金良祥向南方周末记者分析，哈梅内伊遇刺将必然导致伊朗与美、以及周边国家的军事交锋呈现更为激烈的态势。长期来看，局势的走向将取决于伊朗导弹力量与发射体系的储存与生存能力，以及美以伊三方民众的战争承受力和国内政治韧性。
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